Fuel Oil & LP Gas Dealers

Industry Profile Report

Dive Deep into the industry with a 25+ page industry report (pdf format) including the following chapters

Industry Overview Current Conditions, Industry Structure, How Firms Operate, Industry Trends, Credit Underwriting & Risks, and Industry Forecast.

Call Preparation Call Prep Questions, Industry Terms, and Weblinks.

Financial Insights Working Capital, Capital Financing, Business Valuation, and Financial Benchmarks.

Industry Profile Excerpts

Industry Overview

The 4,175 fuel dealers in the US generate revenue by selling heating fuels, such as LP gas, fuel oil, or kerosene, to a variety of customers, including residential, commercial, and industrial accounts. Other sources of revenue include the lease or rental of LP gas (aka propane) storage tanks and related services. Companies may also sell, install, and service appliances and heating/AC systems. Some large companies operate LP tank or cylinder exchange programs.

Declining Demand

Demand for LP gas and fuel oil for heating is declining, with revenue fluctuations driven primarily by pricing changes and weather conditions.

Seasonality and Weather

Industry sales are seasonal and peak during the “winter heating season," which runs from approximately November through March.

Industry size & Structure

The average fuel oil or LP gas dealer operates out of a single location, employs 17 workers, and generates about $9-10 million annually.

    • The fuel oil and LP gas dealer industry comprises 4,175 companies that employ about 71,600 workers and generate about $40 billion annually.
    • The industry is somewhat concentrated at the top; the top 50 firms account for 43% of industry sales.
    • Large companies include Amerigas Partners, Ferrellgas Partners, Star Group, and Suburban Gas Partners.
    • To lower the cost of providing service, most small companies operate locally. Some small companies are family-run and passed down through generations.
                                  Industry Forecast
                                  Fuel Oil & LP Gas Dealers Industry Growth
                                  Source: Vertical IQ and Inforum

                                  Recent Developments

                                  Oct 23, 2024 - Sinking Sales
                                  • Sales for fuel oil dealers sank 23.2% in June compared to a year ago and fell 20.3% versus May, according to the latest data from the Census Bureau. Sales for fuel oil dealers are highly seasonal, peaking in the winter months when demand for home heating is highest. Employment by fuel dealers grew 2.1% in July compared to a year ago, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Forecasters with the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) say household heating expenses are likely to be roughly level with last year as a colder winter drives demand higher while swollen inventories cap prices. Homes that use heating oil — a market limited to the Northeast — can expect to spend some 5% less this winter than last, with an average cost of $1,140, despite an anticipated 4% increase in demand due to colder temperatures, per the EIA.
                                  • Vermont’s Public Utilities Commission is considering alternatives to the state’s Clean Heat Standard (CHS) after concluding the new standard is overly complicated and would burden businesses and consumers. The commission’s reconsideration came a month after Vermont Governor Phil Scott called the projected costs of the CHS “alarming,” in a September press conference. In 2023, Scott vetoed S.5, or the “Affordable Heat Act” which established a CHS, but the Legislature overrode his veto. Proponents say the bill’s ultimate goal is to move Vermont away from primarily heating buildings with high-carbon fossil fuels. Fuel suppliers oppose it, saying the policy would put small companies out of business. The bill required the PUC to craft a credit system by which homeowners, plumbers, fuel dealers and others could earn credits by installing certain “clean heat” measures. Given Vermont’s heavy reliance on fuel oil, home heating accounts for more emissions than any other sector.
                                  • US propane exports set an annual record high last year, averaging 1.6 million barrels per day (b/d), an increase of 14% over 2022, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). Propane exports represented 26% of all US petroleum product exports, more than any other petroleum product. Exports to Asia, including Japan, South Korea, and China, rose 27% over 2022, with China accounting for the most growth, up 50% year over year. Closer to home, US exports of propane to Mexico have fallen from their peak in 2021 of 165,000 b/d to 145,000 b/d last year, a drop of 12%, according to the EIA. Mexico was the largest export market for US petroleum products in 2023. Propane is consumed globally for space heating and is increasingly used as a petrochemical feedstock in East Asia.
                                  • As operations at fuel delivery companies become increasingly connected, cybersecurity has become a rising concern for fuel dealers, LP Gas magazine reports. A survey of 127 fuel delivery companies found that hacks and breaches, ransomware, viruses, and security are their biggest concerns. To protect themselves and their customers, companies are investing in tools and strategies to protect data, including password protection, firewalls, two-factor authentication, cybersecurity training, and disk encryption, according to the Cargas 2024 Top Technology Trends in Fuel Delivery Benchmarking Report. To manage their cybersecurity needs, almost half of respondents to the Cargas survey reported relying on a combination of internal and external IT resources, while about a third relied on an in-house IT person/team. A minority said they had no dedicated cybersecurity resources.
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