Doll, Toy and Game Manufacturers

Industry Profile Report

Dive Deep into the industry with a 25+ page industry report (pdf format) including the following chapters

Industry Overview Current Conditions, Industry Structure, How Firms Operate, Industry Trends, Credit Underwriting & Risks, and Industry Forecast.

Call Preparation Call Prep Questions, Industry Terms, and Weblinks.

Financial Insights Working Capital, Capital Financing, Business Valuation, and Financial Benchmarks.

Industry Profile Excerpts

Industry Overview

The 500 doll, toy and game manufacturers in the US design and produce complete dolls, doll parts, doll clothes, action figures, toys, electronic and nonelectronic games, hobby kits, and children's vehicles (except metal bicycles and tricycles). The majority of toy production and supply chains are in Asia and Mexico. Large firms may own manufacturing facilities abroad, and both large and small firms rely on third-party contract manufacturing in foreign countries.

Trends and Fads

The toy market is subject to fads and trends based on popular culture, movies, media, fashion, or technology.

Seasonal, Uneven Demand

Demand for toys, games, and dolls is highly seasonal and peaks during the winter holiday season and around major theatrical releases for the related products.

Industry size & Structure

The average toy manufacturer operates out of a single location, employs 11-12 workers, and generates about $3 million annually.

    • The toy manufacturing industry consists of about 500 firms that employ about 5,700 workers and generate between $1 billion and $2 billion annually.
    • The industry is highly concentrated; the top 50 companies account for over 80% of industry revenue.
    • Large firms include Mattel and Hasbro. Video game developers and video game system manufacturers are not included in this industry.
    • An estimated 3 billion toy units are sold in the US annually.
                                    Industry Forecast
                                    Doll, Toy and Game Manufacturers Industry Growth
                                    Source: Vertical IQ and Inforum

                                    Recent Developments

                                    Jan 10, 2025 - Producer Prices Flat, Labor Costs Up
                                    • According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), producer prices for doll, toy, and game manufacturers stayed flat in November 2024 compared to a year ago. Employment by manufacturers of dolls, toys, games, and other miscellaneous durable goods declined 1.8% in October 2024 compared to a year ago, while labor costs have increased during the same period. Average wages for nonsupervisory employees for all other miscellaneous durable goods manufacturers, including doll, toy, and game manufacturers, rose 3.5% in October 2024 compared to a year ago, reaching an average of $24.17 per hour, per the BLS. US manufacturing activity contracted in December 2024, marking the ninth consecutive month of contraction for the Manufacturing PMI, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing ISM Report on Business. The Manufacturing PMI registered 49.3% in December, up 0.9 percentage points from the 48.4% recorded in November. A reading above 50% indicates manufacturing expansion.
                                    • The Toy Association , the industry's trade association, is engaged in efforts to reach out to members of Congress and President-Elect Donald Trump’s transition team to discourage the imposition of tariffs on toys. Trump has discussed plans to impose tariffs of up to 60% on all products manufactured in China. The toy industry would be one of the industries most impacted by such a tariff since nearly 80% of US toys are manufactured in China. The Toy Association says the tariffs would be devastating and inflationary for kids, parents, and toy businesses. A recent report by the Peterson Institute for International Economics says American households would directly feel the effects of a 60% tariff. Per the report, “While toys seem like products for which substitute sellers would be readily available, China maintains a dominant position in toy production for several reasons, including its not-easily-reproduced capacity to produce materials that meet US product safety standards.”
                                    • The US doll, toy, and game manufacturers industry is projected to grow at a CAGR of -0.41% between 2024 and 2028, according to a forecast from Inforum and the Interindustry Economic Research Fund, Inc. The expected growth rate is slower than the overall economy's anticipated growth. Factors that continue to limit consumer spending are higher price levels and interest rates, though both are expected to improve in 2024. According to the forecast, overall nondurable manufacturing volumes have been uneven in recent years. Volumes were up 2021, before leveling off in the first half of 2022. Production began to fall later in the year, and December 2023 levels were slightly lower than those in 2019. The report noted that consumer confidence levels are expected to improve in the forecast window, which bodes well for non-durable manufacturing industries. Additionally, consumer sentiment has seen a degree of improvement following sustained lower levels.
                                    • A new law has been signed by Gov. Josh Shapiro in Pennsylvania allowing recycled materials to be used in or on stuffed toys manufactured and sold in the state, according to Lehigh Valley News. Previously, a law from 1961 prohibited the distribution and sale of stuffed toys made with recycled materials.  The updated law maintains stringent regulations on recycled materials designed to ensure the safety of toys but also allows toy manufacturers to meet the growing demand for sustainable products. Toys will bear tags that state the toy was made with new, recycled, or a combination of those materials. The change was supported by The Toy Association. According to Greg Ahearn, the president and CEO of The Toy Association, “The ability to use recycled materials in stuffed toys sold in Pennsylvania will have a positive impact on manufacturing, help to reduce waste, promote environmental responsibility, and represents the industry’s dedication to sustainable toy manufacturing.”  Other states with restrictions on the use of recycled materials in stuffed toys include Ohio and Massachusetts.
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