Forging and Stamping NAICS 3321

Oct 21, 2025 - Falling US Steel Prices

• In September, domestic steel prices fell to their lowest levels since February, giving up earlier tariff-driven gains, OilPrice.com reports. Weak demand from the construction sector, short mill lead times, and volatile durable goods orders are putting downward pressure on prices, including for hot-rolled steel coil, which in early September saw its lowest price since February. The Raw Steels Monthly Metals Index (MMI), which tracks steel prices, fell nearly 1% from August to September. In the first quarter, prices jumped $241 per short ton following tariff announcements by the Trump administration. However, since peaking in March, prices have fallen $109 to $818 per short ton. Prices for cold-rolled coil and hot-dipped galvanized steel are also trending downward. While tariffs have provided support for domestic steel prices, falling demand from the construction and manufacturing sectors is dragging down steel prices.
• New tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to the US have a direct impact on small fabricators’ cost structures, bidding strategies, and overall competitiveness, according to Exiil, a provider of software to metal manufacturers. In March, President Trump raised steel and aluminum import tariffs to the US by 25% -- and then again to 50% -- ending all country exemptions, in addition to hiking tariffs on China, according to Reuters. Russian aluminum imports carry a tariff of 200%. Beyond raw metal, the US has increasingly added “downstream” or “derivative” products – such as stamped parts, fasteners, tubing, wire, or other items with high steel/aluminum content – to existing Section 232 tariffs. As a result, fabricators face higher materials costs. Even companies that source metals domestically are likely to pay more for metal as US mills often raise their prices when foreign competitors’ costs go up – because the “floor” of the market shifts.

• Metal stamping is among the industries likely to be most impacted by President Trump’s new 50% tariff on steel and aluminum imports. An International Trade Commission report on the impact of the 2018 Trump tariffs, which ranked industries by their dependence on steel and aluminum, found that motor vehicle metal stamping uses the most steel (58%). Reacting to Trump’s announcement, the Coalition of American Metal Manufacturers and Users (CAMMU) said in a statement: “Re-imposing 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from our allies and without a workable exclusion process puts US manufacturers directly in harm’s way.” It noted that under Section 232 tariffs already in effect US manufacturers are paying significantly more for steel and aluminum than their global competitors, undermining their ability to compete. The statement says small and medium-sized businesses are particularly vulnerable to losing contracts to overseas rivals with unrestricted access to these essential inputs.
• Producer prices for forging and stamping companies rose 0.9% in August compared to a year ago after falling 1% in the previous August-versus-August annual comparison, according to the latest US Bureau of Labor Statistics data. Industry producer prices have been trending downward since peaking in May 2022, but remain relatively high by historical standards. Employment by the industry was flat year over year in July, while the average industry wage at forging and stamping firms rose 6.7% over the same period to $26.64, just two cents short of its high in July, BLS data show. After-tax profits for fabricated metal products companies rose 11.7% in Q2 2025 compared to a year ago and 3.9% from Q1, Census Bureau data shows.