Mattress Manufacturers NAICS 337910

Mar 16, 2026 - Mattress Shipments Poised for Modest 2026 Growth

• The US mattress manufacturing industry is expected to stabilize in 2026 after several years of decline, according to a recent industry outlook published by BedTimes Magazine. The article reports that mattress unit shipments are projected to edge higher in 2026, while shipment dollar values are expected to rise in the low single digits under the International Sleep Products Association’s baseline forecast. Housing conditions remain a key demand driver: ISPA forecasts existing home sales increasing 3.8% in 2026, while housing starts are projected to decline only 0.3%, indicating improving market stability. However, affordability continues to limit demand, with nearly 75% of households unable to afford a median-priced new home in early 2025 and mortgage rates near 6.25%. The article also notes tariff-related inflation is projected to increase from 2.8% in 2025 to 2.9% in 2026, maintaining cost pressure for mattress manufacturers even as market conditions gradually improve.
• Weakening consumer sentiment could affect demand for discretionary household goods such as mattresses, according to recent indicators. The University of Michigan’s Surveys of Consumers reported the Index of Consumer Sentiment fell to 55.5 in March 2026, down 1.9% from February and 2.6% year over year, marking the lowest reading of the year. The Index of Consumer Expectations declined 4.4% to 54.1, while expectations for personal finances fell 7.5% nationally, according to Surveys Director Joanne Hsu. Inflation concerns also remain elevated, with year-ahead inflation expectations at 3.4%, above the 2.3–3.0% range seen in the two years before the pandemic. Gasoline prices were cited as the most immediate cost pressure affecting consumers. For the US mattress manufacturing industry, weaker confidence and persistent inflation expectations may cause consumers to delay discretionary purchases such as mattress replacements, potentially slowing near-term demand.

• The US mattress manufacturers industry is projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.74% between 2025 and 2029, faster than the overall economy's anticipated growth, according to an updated forecast from Inforum and the Interindustry Economic Research Fund, Inc. Consumer sentiment is expected to improve in the forecast period, which bodes well for the durable goods manufacturing industries including mattress manufacturers. A factor that may curb consumer spending is substantially higher tariffs on consumer goods, which may be painful for households. The forecast noted that a tighter immigration policy could limit the expansion of the labor supply and job growth for durable goods manufacturing industries. However, labor productivity could still improve due to new technologies such as AI and 3-D printing as well as adjustments forced by the pandemic.
• The US mattress market saw continued improvement in Q3 2025 year over year, for the total US mattress shipment industry, according to data from the International Sleep Products Association (ISPA) in Bed Times Magazine. The Bedding Market Quarterly report showed that total wholesale shipments of mattresses and stationary foundations increased 4.8% in dollar value and declined 6.7% in unit volume year over year, an improvement in the rate of dollar growth and an easing of the unit decline from earlier quarters in 2025. ISPA reported unit shipments for US-produced mattresses declined 5.9% in the third quarter, compared to a 7% decline in the previous quarter. Meanwhile, stationary foundation shipments posted a decline of 8.9% in Q3, an improvement compared to 9.4% in the previous quarter. The report noted that import data from the period is incomplete and will be updated at a later time. The Bedding Market Quarterly reports US sales activity based on data provided by a dozen US mattress manufacturers.