Roofing and Siding Contractors NAICS 238160, 238170

Oct 9, 2025 - Building Design Services Demand Remains Weak

• Demand for building design services rose slightly in August from the prior month, but design demand remained in negative territory, according to a September report by the American Institute of Architects (AIA). The AIA’s Architecture Billing Index (ABI) rose to 47.2 compared to July’s reading of 46.2. Any reading of 50 or more indicates growth in architectural billings. The score for new project inquiries dropped to 50.3 in August from 53.4 in July, and the index for the value of new design contracts decreased from 47.9 to 47.2. August marked the 18th consecutive month of decline for new design contracts, the longest slump in the 15 years the AIA has collected data. However, the AIA’s Chief Economist, Kermit Baker said, "While business conditions remained soft at architecture firms nationally, there are signs that the downturn may be bottoming out. Inquiries for new projects have increased four straight months, and billings both at firms with a multifamily or commercial/industrial specialization are beginning to stabilize."
• New single-family home sales rose 20.5% month-over-month and 15.4% year-over-year in August 2025, according to the US Census Bureau. August’s new home sales reached 800,000 units, the highest number since January 2022. However, some economists told Reuters that the August new home sales numbers are probably inflated and may be revised downward later this year. Other housing bellwether metrics, including builder sentiment and job growth, don’t suggest a sudden surge in new home sales. However, falling interest rates could revitalize the sluggish housing market. The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark overnight interest rate from 4.25% to 4.0% on September 18 amid a tepid labor market, and the central bank is expected to announce more cuts before the end of the year.

• Nearly a third of US construction firms have been impacted by intensified immigration enforcement in the last six months, according to a recent report by the Associated General Contractors of America (AGC) and the National Center for Construction Education and Research (NCCER). More stringent enforcement has slowed project delivery and left 88% of firms with craft worker vacancies. One-fifth of construction firms surveyed reported that subcontractors had lost workers, 10% reported increases in absenteeism due to actual or rumored enforcement actions, and 5% said jobsites had been visited by immigration agents. Only 10% of firms use visa programs like H-2B due to approval challenges, leaving many vulnerable to enforcement actions. Industry leaders are urging Congress to increase funding for career and technical education and to create a construction-specific visa program to stabilize the workforce and support long-term growth.
• Multifamily developer confidence rose in the second quarter of 2025, according to the National Association of Home Builders’ (NAHB) latest Multifamily Market Survey. The Multifamily Production Index (MPI) increased two points in Q2 2025 to 46 compared to the second quarter of 2024. The Multifamily Occupancy Index (MOI) rose by one point to 82 over the same period. An MPI or MOI reading of 50 or more indicates that multifamily production or occupancy, respectively, is growing. Multifamily developers’ headwinds include a tight lending environment, higher borrowing costs, and regulatory difficulties. As multifamily projects currently under construction come online, the NAHB projects a modest gain in multifamily starts in 2025 compared to 2024, but starts will remain well below levels seen in 2023.