Wood Window and Door Manufacturers NAICS 321911

May 23, 2025 - Remodeling Spending to See Moderate Growth

• Home remodeling spending is expected to see slight gains through 2026 after two years of weakening expenditures, according to the Leading Indicator of Remodeling Activity (LIRA) report released in April by the Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard. Homeowner improvements and repairs are expected to increase 0.8% to $505 billion in the second quarter of 2025 compared to Q2 2024. In the third quarter of 2025, remodeling spending will rise to $506 billion, up 1.4% from Q3 2024. Spending will then increase to $512 billion in Q4 2025, up 1.8% from Q4 2024. In the first quarter of 2026, year-over-year spending is forecast to rise 2.8% to a record $526 billion. Joint Center expects improvements to be supported by increasing home values, a steady labor market, and gradually improving existing home sales. However, uncertainty stemming from trade strife and waning consumer confidence could put downward pressure on remodeling demand.
• The number of building permits issued for single-family, privately-owned housing units, a demand driver for interior design services, decreased 5.1% in April 2025 compared to March and fell 6.2% year-over-year. Single-family housing starts dropped by 1.6% month-over-month and were down 12% compared to April 2024. Single-family housing completions declined 5.9% in April from the previous month and decreased 12.3% year-over-year. Housing starts in April were pressured by tariff-related economic uncertainty, high mortgage rates, and rising costs for building materials, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB).

• US home builders are dangling more incentives to close deals amid a tepid spring home-buying season that is halfway over, according to The Wall Street Journal. Builders typically notch 40% of their annual sales during the spring, but mortgage rates that are stuck around 7% and a lack of affordability have reduced demand. Builders have increased incentives to bring buyers off the sidelines, including mortgage-rate buydowns, design upgrades, and price cuts. In the first two weeks of April, incentives offered by builders equaled 7.2% of the purchase price, up from 6.1% in January, according to data from John Burns Research & Consulting. Incentives are eating into builder profits during a season that usually sees few discounts, and prices tend to rise.
• The price gap between new and existing homes is narrowing, according to National Association of Home Builders analysis of US Census Bureau data. In the first quarter of 2025, the median price for a new home was $416,900, only $14,600 more than the median existing home price. In Q1, the median price for a new home declined 2.32% year-over-year; the median price for an existing home rose 3.38% over the same period. The average price difference between new and existing homes over the last five years is $26,700, and over 10 years it’s $66,000. The price gap between new and existing homes has been closing as tight inventories of existing homes have pushed up prices. At the same time, builders have reduced lot and home sizes and offered incentives to attract buyers.